Thứ Tư, 25 tháng 7, 2018

Youtube daily report Jul 25 2018

Welcome back to The Legal Brief, the show where we CRUSH the various legal myths and

misinformation surrounding various areas of the gun world.

I'm your host Adam Kraut and today we're talking about how California required gun owners to

register "assault weapons" and then wouldn't let them do it.

Earlier this month, along with a few other gun rights groups, the Firearms Policy Coalition,

and three individuals filed suit against the California Attorney General, its Department

of Justice, the Chief of the Firearms Division and various employees.

The suit was brought in relation to the recent bullet button registration fiasco that left

thousands of gun owners in a precarious legal position.

In order to understand what happened, we need a quick bit of history.

Back in 2016 California passed a number of laws in what as known as Gunpocalypse.

The Gunpocalypse is here.

Americans need to know that this is happening.

The laws would not go into effect until January 1, 2017 since they weren't emergency measures.

Prior to July 1, 2018, Californians who had firearms equipped with bullet buttons before

January 1, 2017, had the option to either register them, take them out of state, or

re-configure them as "featureless" -- lacking evil features -- by installing work-around

compliance devices in order to avoiding having an illegal "assault weapon".

Simply put, "assault weapons" could no longer be legally purchased or assembled after December

31, 2016.

For those not keeping score, that's the day before January 1, 2017.

But in order to register a firearm, a person would have to go to a DOJ web portal and complete

the registration process.

This is where things start to get silly.

Those that wanted to register their firearms found that California must have employed the

same Canadians who created healthcare.gov because the damn thing just didn't work.

Now, there's a few points that are important to bear in mind for you Californians.

Firearms Policy Coalition stated that some people might find themselves in legal trouble

due to the registration.

Why?

Because California's DOJ is using people's registration information and pictures to investigate

if they had the firearm before January 1, 2017, among other things.

And DOJ wouldn't let someone register a "featureless" firearm, even if it was an "assault weapon"

before January 1, 2017.

Merely trying to make a gun "featureless" using different parts might not comply with

the law.

Not to mention, the regulations the DOJ has been creating were only in relation to registration

but NOT criminal enforcement.

And DOJ still hasn't updated its "Assault Weapons Identification Guide," so no one knows

how California's Attorney General and 58 county prosecutors will interpret or enforce the

new laws.

The week prior to the deadline to register, those who attempted to log onto the system

were shut out by technical defects and failures of the DOJ's systems.

For some, the system would simply "time out" while attempting to access it.

Others were able to fill out some or all of the required information only to have the

system "time out" and fail when clicking the"submit" button.

This resulted in numerous registrations being blocked at the last second, even though the

person sought to comply with the process.

One of the individuals in the suit attempted to access the website over 50 times over the

course of a day without any luck.

So he was literally trying to comply and California was experiencing technical difficulties.

You know, business as usual.

When he attempted to obtain help from California's DOJ, he only received automated responses.

On July 2, the day after the deadline, he was able to reach a live person, who explained

that it was his responsibility to have registered by the deadline and that no extensions were

to be granted.

Another plaintiff never had his email inquiry responded to.

So what do you do when the Government requires you to register bullet button and then the

website becomes completely inaccessible the week prior to the deadline?

You sue the Government.

The Plaintiffs' complaint sought declaratory and injunctive relief from the court.

Declaratory relief is an order from the court which defines the legal relationship between

the parties and what their rights are in the matter before the Court.

In this instance, the Plaintiffs are asking the court to declare that the state deprived

them of due process of the law by failing to provide a working registration system and

that the defendants failed to provide a working system as required by law.

Injunctive relief is a court order that requires a party to take action or refrain from taking

an action.

In this case, the Plaintiffs are asking the court to stop the defendants from enforcing

the penalties in the statutes relating to the registration of firearms until they are

given a reasonable amount of time to register with a working system.

Let's recap this nonsense.

FPC and a few other intrepid firearms rights advocates are suing the California DOJ, among

others, because of a complete breakdown of a system meant to register "assault weapons".

The California DOJ and its cohorts are terrible at their jobs

and no one is able to comply with a law that shouldn't have been enacted in the first place

because of, "technical difficulties".

That's it for this episode, if you have learned anything from this show, help us out and hit

that like button, and share it with your friends.

Don't forget to get subscribed and if you enjoyed the video, consider supporting us

via the links down in the video description.

If you want to get more out of your TGC subscription, be sure to check out the The Gun Collective

Podcast which happens live on Thursday evenings!

And as always thanks for watching!

For more infomation >> California's Registration Frustration - The Legal Brief! - Duration: 6:55.

-------------------------------------------

GALATASARAY TRANSFER HABERLERİ | 26 TEMMUZ 2018 - Duration: 12:12.

For more infomation >> GALATASARAY TRANSFER HABERLERİ | 26 TEMMUZ 2018 - Duration: 12:12.

-------------------------------------------

A$AP Rocky & Tyler, The Creator's "POTATO SALAD" Explained | Song Stories - Duration: 2:30.

TIA: Tyler, the Creator linked up with A$AP Rocky in Paris for a quick collab on "Potato Salad."

TIA: In the past month, Tyler's been rhyming over a lot of people's songs.

On "Potato Salad," the duo rap over Monica's 2003 track, "Knock Knock,"

which was produced by Missy Elliott and Kanye West.

Ye also remixed it on his early aughts mixtape, Kon The Louis Vuitton Don.

TIA: Tyler stays bragging that he's been getting money on most of his verses.

He also references basketball player Yao Ming, who played Center for the Houston Rockets.

TIA: Tyler's known for his sense of humor and joking nature,

but he wants people to know he's leveled up.

Tyler's also become somewhat of a fashion icon over the years.

He's headed both his own fashion shows and clothing brands.

TIA: On his verse, Rocky shouts out Lil B, the Based God,

by referencing his breakout song with The Pack, "Vans."

TIA: Rocky, who's also known for his fashion sense, uses it to make a quick reference to

the movie 'The Hangover.'

ALAN: Plus it's not a man purse, it's called a satchel.

TIA: Here, Rocky takes a shot at today's generation of younger rappers,

specifically this year's XXL Freshman Class, which many people criticized for being "mumble rappers."

TIA: "CALLDROPS" is a reference to the track of the same name from A$AP Rocky's

latest album, 'TESTING,' that features Kodak Black on a call from prison.

TIA: Fans are looking forward to WANG$AP, a possible collaborative project from Tyler and Rocky

sometime in the near future.

But Tyler tweeted that maybe we shouldn't get our hopes up just yet.

TIA: I'm Tia with Genius News bringing you the meaning and the knowledge behind the music.

TYLER: I have nothing cool to do.

For more infomation >> A$AP Rocky & Tyler, The Creator's "POTATO SALAD" Explained | Song Stories - Duration: 2:30.

-------------------------------------------

How To Wake Up Early and Be Productive In Your First Hour - Duration: 5:27.

Heya playa, do you want to wake up early and be productive in the very first hour that

you're awake?

There are a few habits of yours that you're probably gonna need to change.

So I'm gonna outline a few things that you should be doing if you want to be as productive

as possible.

For those of you that are new here, my name is Josh and every single Monday through Friday

I make videos sharing tips, ideas and stories teaching you how to be your best self now

a lot of people choose to have an alarm clock as their go-to way of waking up.

You set up your alarm clock next to your bed and when it goes off, boom.

That's how you get up in the morning but what ends up happening for a lot of people is they

pick up their phone, they see their alarm going off and they just hit snooze.

And yes, snoozing is only a few minutes here and there but if you want to be super productive

in that very first hour of you actually waking up, the very best thing for you to do is to

move your alarm clock, move your phone somewhere else.

A lot of people just plug it in next to their bed but if you plug it in somewhere across

on the other side of the room there's a higher likelihood that you're going to get up out

bed, you're going to go turn off the alarm clock and since you're already up you're just

gonna start your day.

Now I know, there's always a chance that you could walk over, hit snooze and get back in

bed but if you're already lying in bed and you're just turning over to press the snooze

button, I'd say you have a higher chance of not actually getting up in that moment so,

just that simple walk over to your phone could be the difference maker in you being productive.

Lots of people have asked me what they should set their alarm clock ringtone too and I personally

think it doesn't really matter.

What matters most is that as soon as you hear it playing, it triggers something in your

mind to get up and get active.

Sometimes people set things that they enjoy listening to like I did when I first started

college which caused me to miss my first actual class there so, don't make that mistake.

Make sure your alarm clock ringtone is something that amps you up, gets you ready and helps

you start being productive.

The next thing you should do within that hour is to spend a little bit of time exercising

and stretching.

Just basic stretches like holding your arms out, touching your toes, really just stretching

your body out after lying down for a bunch of hours is the best thing you can do for

it.

Most of the time we spend our time in a stationary position.

We're sitting at a desk, we're sitting in front of a computer, we're sitting on a bus

or in a car or we're just sitting in front of a TV watching it.

We don't really act as actively as we should be so adding in that exercise early in the

morning could be a good way to just get the blood flowing.

To actually say hey, I did some physical activity today and that's something I should be proud

of.

Even if they are the most basic of stretches, it's a really good habit to start working

in because let's face it, it's way better than just rolling out of bed, groggily going

to brush your teeth, get dressed, and just going to school not really feeling energized.

The next thing you're gonna wanna do after you've brushed your teeth and all that stuff

is to sit down at your desk, sit down on your bed, pick up a pen and start working on your

morning journal.

Now a few of you might not really know what a morning journal is and Habit Nest was able

to send me one of these so that I can start using it in my day and I gotta say, it's helped

me be super productive.

This morning sidekick journal helps me keep my goals in perspective.

It allows me to outline different things I want to accomplish throughout the day, how

it made me feel and what I should specifically focus on.

Each day really focuses on different tasks that you can accomplish.

You can outline the most important tasks for the day, what time you want to wake up in

the morning, what time you want to go to sleep, and what your morning ritual will be.

And I think by outlining something like this, it'll allow you to set better habits for yourself,

you'll be way more productive because you'll have a clearer vision of what you want to

accomplish.

Waking up and not knowing how you want to be productive for the rest of the day almost

guarantees that you're not gonna spend that first hour as productive as possible.

That's why planning is super important.

Yes, it takes a little bit of time in your early morning but if you spend that little

bit of time, you're going to maximize the amount of results you achieve by the end of

the day.

So pick up your morning sidekick journal, I'll put the link down there below, get it

guys, and get your day to be as productive as can be.

Now after you've outlined your goals, the next thing you're going to want to focus on

is getting your body prepared for that day.

And that includes eating fruits in the morning and drinking water.

Lots of people don't eat fruits at all or the first drink of water they have is later

on in the day from a random water fountain.

Instead, try to make it part of your morning routine.

In that first hour try to eat an apple or a banana or some grapes or some berries, drink

a glass of water because doing those things is going to give you the energy and fuel to

carry forward.

Don't just have your quick bowl of cereal, it's not going to give you the energy that

you need.

Hydration, fruits, those are the things that are really going to give you the substances

to be productive in that first hour.

Now within that first hour, you're going to need some time to get ready for school or

work or whatever you need to do but incorporating those four habit changing activities is really

going to make you as productive as possible.

You at least are spending time dedicated to improving yourself and that's the best thing

you can do in the very first hour that you wake up.

Improvement is not something you're supposed to look at upon reflection and say "Oh yeah,

I probably should have done that".

Start making these changes right now, but now I want to know what do you think?

What do you spend your first hour of the day doing?

Leave your comments down below and we'll talk about it.

On that note guys, thank you so much for watching.

If you enjoyed this video hit the thumbs up, and if you want to check out the Habit Nest

Morning Sidekick Journal, I'm gonna have the link over there on the side so you can check

it out, be as productive as you can be by really dedicating the time to improving yourself.

On that note guys, I'll catch you tomorrow.

As always, love and peace.

For more infomation >> How To Wake Up Early and Be Productive In Your First Hour - Duration: 5:27.

-------------------------------------------

¡Esta es la verdadera razón por la cual Harry eligió casarse con Meghan en lugar de Cressida o Chels - Duration: 7:00.

For more infomation >> ¡Esta es la verdadera razón por la cual Harry eligió casarse con Meghan en lugar de Cressida o Chels - Duration: 7:00.

-------------------------------------------

"Лесник. Своя земля". 26 серия - Duration: 49:23.

For more infomation >> "Лесник. Своя земля". 26 серия - Duration: 49:23.

-------------------------------------------

Gilbert Blythe || The last, the only - Duration: 3:51.

It's a big world son,

remember that

nice to have you here son,

will you read my favorite?

afoot and light-hearted

I take to the open road

healthy, free, the world before me

the long brown path before me

leading...

wherever I choose.

I feel like I should...

just stay close.

alright.

thank you son.

how long you're planning to stay on the ship?

I don't know.

I want to go wherever the spirit moves me.

that's what my dad used to say.

If I come back to Avonlea...

I want it to be my choice.

not...

an obligation.

is what my dad would have wanted.

choices...

I like that word

yeah.

I can't imagine is easy...

all alone at this time of the year.

we were a

large family for a while.

I'm the last,

the only.

what kind of strange child were you anyway Blythe?

needing to know about your own breech birth.

I didn't wanna know about my birth.

I wanted to know about my mother.

she died giving birth to me.

sorry.

I don't know what I would do if...

I don't know what I'm doing here anymore dad.

I'm sorry.

I am very sorry that I wasn't more sensitive about your father

and what loosing him really meant for you.

what am I supposed to want?

it's alright.

no, it's fine.

it's water under the bridge.

I felt trapped in Avonlea.

if I go back home

i may never be able to leave.

I wish you were here.

the truth is I...

I never really wanted to be a farmer.

how am I supposed to do all this by myself?

Ruth!

Ruth!

you wanna know something?

I was a breech baby too

and I lived tell the tale.

There's this other things calling out to you?

he was in his mother

just like your baby is in you now.

look at him!

your father would be very proud.

what's your problem?

he'll be glad glad I'm back home anyway.

ask me that again!

me...

not so sure.

I don't want to be a farmer.

you said that before.

now you're sure?

Anne!

you're back.

yes.

I'm gonna stay and work the farm with Bash like we planned.

so... you're not leaving school early.

I want to be with my family.

welcome home!

Welcome home to you too.

For more infomation >> Gilbert Blythe || The last, the only - Duration: 3:51.

-------------------------------------------

Exclusive: Queens Man Speaks Out After Wife Attacked - Duration: 1:51.

For more infomation >> Exclusive: Queens Man Speaks Out After Wife Attacked - Duration: 1:51.

-------------------------------------------

Drunk Driver Leaves Trail Of Destruction In Hoboken - Duration: 1:56.

For more infomation >> Drunk Driver Leaves Trail Of Destruction In Hoboken - Duration: 1:56.

-------------------------------------------

The Young and the Restless - Previously On Y&R (7/25/2018) - Duration: 0:41.

For more infomation >> The Young and the Restless - Previously On Y&R (7/25/2018) - Duration: 0:41.

-------------------------------------------

Mike Pompeo hearing live stream on the Trump-Putin meeting and North Korea Summit: Part 2 - Duration: 52:17.

For more infomation >> Mike Pompeo hearing live stream on the Trump-Putin meeting and North Korea Summit: Part 2 - Duration: 52:17.

-------------------------------------------

Everything We Know So Far About Demi Lovato's Overdose - Duration: 4:44.

Demi Lovato was hospitalized at approximately 11 a.m. on Tuesday, July 24th, 2018, with

sources telling TMZ that they suspect the singer suffered from, quote, "what appears

to be an overdose."

However, insiders close to Lovato insisted to The Blast that whatever she suffered from,

it was not due to use.

She was reportedly unconscious when paramedics arrived.

Law enforcement sources told TMZ that Lovato was treated at her home with Narcan, which

is used for overdoses of opioids such as heroin or Oxycontin, the latter of which she'd previously

admitted to abusing.

The overdose reportedly occurred in her house.

Insiders also told TMZ that Lovato had partied with friends the night before and seemed to

be in good spirits.

The good news is that a few hours after she was hospitalized, Lovato's rep confirmed,

"Demi is awake and with her family who want to express thanks to everyone for the love,

prayers and support."

While we wait for more updates on her condition, here's everything we know about Demi Lovato's

troubles.

Musical confession

In her heartbreaking ballad "Sober," released in June 2018, Lovato revealed that she had

relapsed.

She didn't comment further on her slip from sobriety, except to say in the days leading

up to the song's release that she would soon reveal her, quote, "uncomfortable and shocking

truth."

Sources told Entertainment Tonight at the time of the "Sober" music video release that

Lovato had began drinking again, with insiders confirming to People magazine that her relapse

began with alcohol abuse, and that those closest to her saw her alleged overdose coming as

soon as she relapsed.

The insider claimed that over the last few months, Lovato felt that she was keeping her

initial alcohol abuse "under control," but unfortunately, that control didn't last long.

The insider added,

"Start using again and it's a slippery slope right back to rock bottom.

The minute she started using again, the clock was ticking down to this exact moment."

Risky friendship

A red flag for many fans was when Lovato was spotted holding hands with rapper G-Eazy during

a late-night outing to a Los Angeles nightclub earlier in July 2018.

Spies told Radar Online that Lovato and G-Eazy arrived at the club at 1:00 a.m. and left

together at about 2:30 a.m.

This news was concerning to many, as according to Radar Online, G-Eazy was arrested in May

2018 in Sweden after being busted with two bags of cocaine and a rolled up $100 bill

following a brawl in a nightclub.

Despite the hand-holding, G-Eazy later told Entertainment Tonight that Lovato was, quote,

"just a friend."

Six years

In March 2018, Lovato marked six years of sobriety onstage in a moving speech, saying,

in part,

"Yesterday, six years ago, I was drinking vodka out of a Sprite bottle at nine in the

morning, throwing up in the car and I just remember thinking, 'This is no longer cute.

This is no longer fun.

And I'm just like my dad,' so I made changes in my life."

Lovato also celebrated the milestone on Twitter, writing, "Just officially turned 6 years sober.

So grateful for another year of joy, health and happiness.

It IS possible."

"One of the reasons I've stayed sober is because I want people to know that it is possible

for you to get help and to recover."

Unfortunately, in June 2018, Page Six revealed that Lovato had unfollowed her sober coach,

Mike Bayer, who was also her partner at CAST Centers, a mental health clinic she had co-owned.

A source close to Lovato told Radar Online,

"[Demi has] gone off the rails.

[…] She's completely dropped her family members, friends and everyone in the sober

community, including all of the people at CAST.

And now she is cutting off her staff who have worked with her forever."

Suspicious fans

As early as April 2018, some fans were concerned that Lovato wasn't living a sober lifestyle

anymore because her friends got a little messy on social media.

In an Instagram pic from a night out with friends, Lovato is seen holding a plastic

cup containing a gold beverage.

But when another friend posted the pic, Lovato's cup appeared to be edited out, and followers

were quick to notice.

A miffed Lovato reportedly responded to one fan, "I don't have to defend anything, but

it was Red Bull."

In June 2018, before her relapse reveal, Lovato canceled two scheduled performances in London,

citing vocal cord issues and claiming that she was sick.

While this caused some speculation among her fans, it's unconfirmed if the cancellations

were related to her relapse.

Planning to tell all

Lovato has been open about her struggles with substance abuse, self-harm, bulimia, and mental

illness, and Radar Online reports that she was planning to tell all about her relapse

following the release of "Sober."

Lovato had intended to sit down with NBC Today host Hoda Kotb to detail her plans to get

back on track.

An insider added,

"Demi is ready to share what led to the relapse and what she is doing now to stay sober.

She has always been very open and honest with her fans about her struggles, so it's only

natural that she would do this."

"So many people feel connected to her in a way that I haven't seen before."

For more infomation >> Everything We Know So Far About Demi Lovato's Overdose - Duration: 4:44.

-------------------------------------------

Will Facebook's growth depend on Instagram? - Duration: 4:29.

For more infomation >> Will Facebook's growth depend on Instagram? - Duration: 4:29.

-------------------------------------------

6 NEW Business English IDIOMS 💼 - Duration: 8:48.

Hey there I'm Emma from mmmEnglish!

In this lesson, we're going to get down to business,

knowing some of the idioms used in a professional

context is going to help you to sound more

relaxed and natural in the workplace.

And of course, help you to understand what the heck

everyone else is talking about!

So today, I've got five useful idioms for you

that are commonly used in a professional context

- a business context.

And that means they're perfect and fantastic to use

in an interview as well, so stay tuned!

Now I always tell my students one of the best ways

to learn and remember English idioms

is to link them to a memory or an experience in your life.

That way, when you think about the idiom

or you hear it somewhere

you connect it with the personal moment in your life

and experience.

And when you think about the experience, it helps you to

think about the idiom as well.

Now you don't have to learn and remember

every idiom in English, but you should learn

some common ones that you can actually use

to talk about your life.

I'm going to tell you a story.

My first job out of university

was with a huge corporate company.

I was an intern.

I thought it was going to be photocopying and stapling

and getting cups of tea for my boss.

But at the time that I started, my department was really

understaffed.

They just didn't have enough people to manage

the workload.

So I really got thrown in the deep end.

Within weeks of starting, I was writing reports and I was

making presentations to the management team

which was kind of cool but a bit scary.

So in this idiom, the 'deep end' is referring to

the deepest part of a swimming pool

where often your feet can't touch the ground.

So if someone throws you or pushes you into the pool,

that's a bit of a shock, isn't it?

You can't feel the ground.

So you're thrown in the deep end when you're

put into a new or a difficult situation

without any preparation.

And this often happens in the workplace, doesn't it?

Sarah's been so stressed lately. She started a new job

last month, but they've really thrown her in the deep end.

I'm not afraid of being thrown in the deep end.

I think it's the best way to learn!

Now I don't want to throw you in the deep end

on your first day, but

do you think you could make a presentation to the CEO

by the end of the week?

A similar idiom is to be 'out of one's depth'

and it has a similar meaning because it's an

uncomfortable place.

Again,

thinking about the deep end of your swimming pool,

your feet can't touch the ground and you have to swim

to keep yourself alive, right?

My brother loves the company that he works for

but he feels a little out of his depth in the finance team.

Now when you start a new job, maybe a new role or a

position in your company

or you start working for a new company,

it usually takes some time to learn the ropes.

So this means to learn the basic tasks

that allow you to do your job well and efficiently.

You know, like how to use the photocopier,

how to use the company's email system,

who to call if your computer won't start,

who you report to

and which meetings you need to attend

- all of the simple things

take a week or two to get used to

when you start a new job.

How's the new job?

It's going well! I'm still learning the ropes,

but my colleagues are really great.

You'll also hear people say

"I'll show you the ropes"

which means that they'll show you how things

are done, the standard, normal way that things are done.

So note that if a person has been working at their job

for over a month, this idiom isn't really relevant anymore

because they've already learnt the basic tasks

they need to do their job.

Now, once you've had your job for a while,

it might be time to focus on

climbing the corporate ladder.

So this idiom talks about the progression of roles

through a career,

starting with an entry-level job, an internship

or a position straight out of university.

But over the years, you get promotions,

you switch companies,

you become known in your industry,

you work your way up to better and better opportunities.

You get paid more, you have more responsibilities,

you'll be a manager and then one day

maybe even the CEO!

So this progression is called

'climbing the corporate ladder'

Tim climbed the corporate ladder quickly.

He became a partner at the company

by the time he was 26.

But James has never been

interested in climbing the corporate ladder.

I feel inspired by women who climb the corporate ladder

and raise a family at the same time.

Amazing!

People who think outside the box are usually

pretty valuable employees

because they think creatively and they solve problems

in non-standard ways.

So they think outside or beyond the normal

or standard way of thinking which often leads

to really interesting, creative solutions to problems.

We need to think outside the box

and find a different solution.

Steve's probably the most creative guy on the team

- he's always thinking outside the box.

Now in Australia, you'll often hear this expression as

'thinking outside the square'

It's the same thing.

Are you the type of person

who thinks outside the square?

Last one, a 'steep learning curve'.

Now this is a brilliant idiom to use

during a job interview

- so was the last one actually -

but this one is a brilliant idiom to use

during an interview or a speaking exam.

So use it when you're reflecting or thinking about some

of the challenges that you've overcome in the past.

So it could be relating to work or even life experiences.

So it's used when someone has to learn something

really quickly, usually just by giving it a shot,

by doing their best and then

learning from their mistakes.

So using this idiom to describe an experience

that you've had helps to show that you're not afraid

of hard work or challenges and that you're willing

to build new skills and overcome problems.

So it's a really handy one to have!

For many international students,

studying in an English-speaking country can be a

steep learning curve.

Going from employee to business owner

was a really steep learning curve for me!

It's still steep actually, I'm only about here!

So that's it! Six new business idioms for you.

I'm sure that you can think of some others as well

that relate to jobs and business.

So if you can, pop them in the comments below

and share them with everyone.

And of course, I always, always love to see you

actually using the English that I teach you.

So take a moment right now

to write a sentence using one of the idioms

that you've learned today and add it to the comments.

I'll check it for you but you'll also get to see

how the idioms are being used in lots of different

examples from all of your peers.

Once you do that, then come over here,

keep practising with me. Try out this lesson here

or maybe even that one.

Make sure you subscribe if you haven't

already subscribed, you'll get a new lesson

every single week.

Bye for now!

For more infomation >> 6 NEW Business English IDIOMS 💼 - Duration: 8:48.

-------------------------------------------

The Story of Ocarina of Time in 3 Minutes! | ArcadeCloud - Duration: 3:30.

- [Narrator] This is the story of The Legend of Zelda

Ocarina of Time in three minutes.

Let's begin.

Civil war engulfs the lands of Hyrule.

Amidst the conflict a Hylian mother

and her newborn child escape the Kokiri Forest,

a land where inhabitants never grow up.

The dying mother leaves her baby in the care

of the Great Deku Tree, Guardian of the Forest.

A decade later the boy, Link, is awakened by Navi,

a fairy sent by the Great Deku Tree.

Hey, listen!

The tree beckons Link to stop the curse

placed within it by a wicked man dressed in black.

Upon freeing the tree from the curse,

Link learns that he must seek out Princess Zelda.

The tree bestows upon Link the Kokiri's Emerald,

one of the three spiritual stones.

With his dying breaths he tells Link

of the three goddesses, Din, Farore, and Nayru,

who've left behind the Triforce.

As Link leaves the forest, his childhood friend

Saria gives him an Ocarina.

Link is greeted by the worst owl ever, Kaepora Gaebora.

Princess Zelda foresees the coming of a boy

with a fairy and a green stone.

Sure enough, Link sneaks through Hyrule Castle

and finds Zelda just as she predicted.

She warns Link that Ganondorf, King of the Gerudo,

is the source of evil that she has foreseen in her dreams.

Ganondorf seeks the sacred realm

to attain the power of the Triforce.

They have to collect the three spiritual stones

and the Ocarina of Time to stop Ganondorf's evil plan.

Zelda's handmaiden, Impa, guides Link out of the castle.

Link's journey to collect the remaining stones

begins by climbing Death Mountain for Goron's Ruby.

He then enters the belly of Jabu-Jabu

to retrieve Zora's Sapphire.

With the stones collected, Link witnesses Impa

and Zelda allude Ganondorf on horseback.

Zelda throws the Ocarina of Time into a moat,

no big deal, it's only a sacred object.

Ganondorf asks Link where the girls fled.

Link refuses to give their location,

and is blasted by Ganondorf.

Link uses the Ocarina and stones to open

the Door of Time within the Temple of Time.

Link finds the Master Sword and snatches it up

without a second thought, bad idea.

The Master Sword seals Link away for seven years,

as he's not ready to wield it's power.

Even worse, this clears the path for Ganondorf

to reach the Sacred Realm and attain the power he seeks.

During Link's seven year slumber, Ganondorf

conquers Hyrule, turning it into a land of darkness.

Link is woken up as an adult by Rauru,

one of the seven sages of Hyrule.

He catches Link up on how the kingdom is going to

(bleeping) during his catnap.

Rauru tells Link he must seek out the other sages

if he is to stop Ganondorf.

Link returns to Hyrule, where he meets Sheik,

one of the last remaining members of the Sheikah Tribe,

those sworn to protect the royal family.

Link travels throughout the land.

He goes deep into the forest, into a volcano,

to the bottom of a lake, to the graveyard,

and to far reaches of a desert,

to track down the six sages.

Having found the sages, Link returns to the Temple of Time

to find the seventh and final sage.

Sheik greets him and tells another story

passed down by the Sheikah.

The Triforce acts as a balance of the spirit

of the person attempting to wield it.

Because Ganondorf wished to wield it for power

the Triforce split and he only gained the Triforce of power.

Sheik explains the remaining two pieces of the Triforce

rest with those who resonate with

the virtues of wisdom and courage.

For the last seven years, Ganondorf has desperately

sought to complete the Triforce.

Through the valor shown along his journey,

Link conveniently possesses the Triforce of courage.

Then to complete the shocking twist,

Sheik confesses her identity, Princess Zelda.

Who happens to be the final sage and wielder

of the Triforce of wisdom.

She imparts Link with light arrows.

Suddenly Ganondorf uses his magic to capture Zelda.

He mocks Link for getting Zelda to reveal

where she's been been hiding all this time.

Link heads for Ganon's Castle.

He scales the millions of stairs,

seriously this castle has hardly any rooms,

just stairs that lead to more stairs.

And confronts Ganondorf.

They clash, powered by their respective Triforce pieces,

Link defeats Ganondorf and Zelda is released.

But there's no time to celebrate

as Ganondorf uses his dying breath to bring

the castle down on top of them.

Link and Zelda manage to escape

just before the castle collapses.

As they leave the castle grounds Ganondorf

bursts forth from the rubble to use

the Triforce of power to transform into Ganon,

a mammoth pig demon.

Ganon knocks the master sword away from Link.

Forcing him to fight with either a giant hammer

or a massive sword that dwarfs the Master Sword,

he probably should've used from the start.

Link reclaims the Master Sword

and knocks Ganon into submission.

Zelda calls upon the power of the seven sages

to seal Ganon away the second Link can use the final blow.

Ganondorf vows he will one day get

his revenge on their descendants,

but that will never happen.

With peace restored to Hyrule,

Link controls the Master Sword to close the Door of Time

creating three alternate future timelines (bleeping),

the space time continuum, and time once again,

A child once again, Link heads off towards the (mumbling)

And that's the story (coughing)

of The Legend of Zelda Ocarina of Time

in three minutes.

I hope you guys enjoyed the video.

If you did look (mumbling) subscribe.

(dramatic music)

For more infomation >> The Story of Ocarina of Time in 3 Minutes! | ArcadeCloud - Duration: 3:30.

-------------------------------------------

Chris Hayes Explains Why MSNBC IGNORES Important Issues – They're Ratings Killers! - Duration: 4:29.

MSNBC host Chris Hayes admitted something on Tuesday night that I'm sure his corporate

media masters are not going to be too happy about.

Chris Hayes posted something about climate change and how devastating the effects were

of climate change in Greece.

He got a response from it on Twitter that said, "Sure would be nice if our news networks,

the only outlets that can force change in this country, would cover it with commiserate

urgency.

Acting as if there's nothing to be done is just excusable."

It's just not excusable, excuse me.

So that was the tweet that responded to Chris Hayes who was talking about climate change

on Twitter, and this is what Chris Hayes responded with.

"Almost without exception, every single time we've covered, it's been a palpable ratings

killer.

So the incentives are not great."

Climate change: an issue that affects every single human being on this planet, no matter

where they live, no matter how much money that have.

They don't cover it, they don't talk about it because it's a ratings killer.

Corporate media doesn't wanna talk about important issues, be it climate change or drug that's

gonna kill you, because those are snoozefests.

Why talk about that when Donald Trump just tweeted a tweet with a misspelled word, we

gotta spend five hours talking about that.

Hayes continued.

That was not the only tweet where he admitted the truth.

He went on to say this: "There is a vast array of stories for which this is true as well,

stories for which there simply is little exgenius audience demand," and I probably pronounced

that word wrong, my apologies.

But there's little audience demand.

You guys, you need to be out there demanding these stories, and I'm not gonna lie here,

Chris Hayes is 100% right.

Not only are these issues ratings killers, because we have seen it through our YouTube

channel, we've seen it on other's YouTube channels, but we still cover it.

Eyeballs don't necessarily matter.

What matters is that you're out there being honest to yourself, and reporting on the stories

that actually matter to people in this country and all around the globe.

Chris Hayes is not at fault here.

Do not get me wrong, I am not saying that.

Chris Hayes admitted the truth.

And what worries me here is that Chris Hayes is going to end up being punished for telling

the truth here.

How many times have you seen any member of the corporate media come out and say, "Yeah,

we don't talk about that because it doesn't get us ratings.

The people up on the top floor don't want us to do that."

Never, except of course for Cenk Uygur after he was let go from MSNBC for wanting to talk

about important issues.

Same thing with Ed Schultz.

I fear that Chris Hayes is about to go the same way.

Because he finally admitted the truth, he wasn't afraid to do it, and any time any reporter

at MSNBC, or any of these corporate media outlets, I mean, hell, all the way back to

Phil Donahue at MSNBC, any time they have the courage to go out there and admit the

truth, they lose their jobs.

I am confident and sad that that is probably going to happen to Chris Hayes, but his message

is clear.

The corporate masters at MSNBC, as well as the other networks, they don't let their hosts

talk about issues that affect your daily life because it is a "ratings killer."

So what you can do, public, not only demand that they go out and start covering these

stories, but even better than that, turn it off.

Corporate media should be dead to you.

They don't care what you want to know about, they don't care about the issues that affect

everything you do throughout your daily life.

So why should you care enough to give them your eyeballs, or any second of your life

when they don't care about that life, other than in terms of advertising dollars?

For more infomation >> Chris Hayes Explains Why MSNBC IGNORES Important Issues – They're Ratings Killers! - Duration: 4:29.

-------------------------------------------

John Bolton: Donald Trump Wants Putin Meeting After 'Russia Witch Hunt Is Over' | Katy Tur | MSNBC - Duration: 3:13.

For more infomation >> John Bolton: Donald Trump Wants Putin Meeting After 'Russia Witch Hunt Is Over' | Katy Tur | MSNBC - Duration: 3:13.

-------------------------------------------

Siguen los rumores sobre posible embarazo de Chiquis Rivera | Suelta La Sopa | Entretenimiento - Duration: 2:42.

For more infomation >> Siguen los rumores sobre posible embarazo de Chiquis Rivera | Suelta La Sopa | Entretenimiento - Duration: 2:42.

-------------------------------------------

Spotlight On: HEAD OVER HEELS - Duration: 0:41.

--This musical comedy has got the beat. Set to the songs of the Go-Go's, Head over

Heels is a brand new kind of 16th century love story. This tale zeroes in

on a Duke, a mysterious prophecy, and two daughters, one mobbed by suitors and the

other, well, not so much. With its colorful set and costumes infectious score and

stellar performances, you've got to get up and go see this fabulous fun

production. For tickets and more information, visit Broadway.com.

For more infomation >> Spotlight On: HEAD OVER HEELS - Duration: 0:41.

-------------------------------------------

You know I'm all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24 - Duration: 12:05.

Hi, I'm Adriene Hill, and Welcome back to Crash Course, Statistics.

We all have ideas about how the world works.

And even if we haven't ever used numbers to describe them, we see different beliefs

everywhere we go.

From whether it's healthier to be a vegetarian... to whether school uniforms are a good idea;

we all have slightly different "models" of how the world works.

And yet we all agree on a lot.

For example, we all believe the sun will come up tomorrow morning--or at least that it'll

come up eventually if you live at the poles.

And we all believe that the Oxygen atoms in the room won't all suddenly move to one

corner of the room, leaving us to suffocate.

And almost all our beliefs change based on our experience.

That's why your friend with a snake that he cuddles with all the time isn't as afraid

of snakes as you are...since your only exposure to snakes is that one time when you were hiking

and a rattlesnake almost bit your dog.

Our beliefs are numerous, sometimes complex, and consistently changing.

So it can be useful to have a way of doing statistical inference that reflects that.

INTRO

Bayes' Theorem--or Bayes Rule--tells us the that probability of A given B, is the

probability of B given A times the probability of A, all divided by the probability of B.

And remember that the numerator in this equation is just another--way of writing the probability of A and B.

For example, When you're out to lunch, your sister mentions that she have a friend who

has breast cancer, but doesn't say much else.

You recently saw a documentary about males with breast cancer.

Because it's so fresh in your mind, you wonder if your sister's friend is a male.

Your gut feeling is that it's not that likely they're male... but let's quantify that.

You want to know the probability that your sister's friend is male, given that you

know that friend has breast cancer.

Using Bayes' theorem, we can calculate this probability.

The probability of being male, given that you have breast cancer is equal to the probability

of having breast cancer given that you are male times the probability of being male,

divided by the probability of having breast cancer.

Thanks to government health agencies, we know many of these statistics.

The probability of getting breast cancer given that you're male is 0.001, and we will assume

the probability of being male is 0.5.

The overall probability of getting breast cancer is 0.063.

Armed with your facts you calculate that the probability that your sister's

friend is male is only about 0.79%...so...not very likely.

But maybe more likely than you would have anticipated.

If we rearrange Bayes' Theorem slightly you can see that it allows you to update your

beliefs based on new information:

When we used Bayes' Theorem what we were really doing was updating our belief that

a person was male (probably about 50/50 odds if you know nothing else about them) with

the new information that they had breast cancer.

This new information changed our belief; we went from a 50 percent chance to about a 0.79%

chance just by taking into account this new information.

This idea about updating beliefs is core to Bayesian statistics and can be used to test hypotheses.

We start with some idea or belief about how something works.

For example, you set your friend Maria up on a blind date.

Maria's excited, but nervous, and on her way to the coffee shop to meet her blind date

Jordan, she wonders whether he shares her love of Star Wars.

From her experience meeting people in the city, she believes that in general, there

are slightly more Star Wars fans than non fans.

She guesses there's a 60% chance that a given person is a Star Wars fan, and a 40%

chance they are not, which means that she thinks it's 1.5 times more likely that someone is a fan.

When Maria arrives at the coffee shop she and Jordan do the normal first date small talk.

He asks her what she did this last weekend, and she told him that she saw the new Star

Wars movie.

Jordan says he did too!

After hearing this, Maria feels like it's more likely that she might have met her Porg

loving soulmate.

She knows that not everyone who's seen Star Wars is a fan, but she can use the fact that

Jordan has seen it to update her belief about whether or not he is one… or she could ask!

Maria knows that the probability of having seen the last Star Wars movie given that you're

a fan is 0.99, since pretty much all the fans rushed to see the movie.

But not everyone who went to see the movie were fans.

Some were just curious, and others were dragged by family or friends to see it.

She thinks that the approximate probability of having seen the movie given that you're

not a fan is 0.5, since some but not all non-fans went to see it.

Maria can use the ratio of these two probabilities: To see which hypothesis is more probable given

that we know Jordan saw the movie.

Based on Maria's quick calculations, this new information means that it's now 1.98

times more likely that Jordan is a Star Wars fan than not.

Her heart starts beating a little faster!

This ratio of the probability of our information under one hypothesis--that he's a fan--compared

to another--that he's not a fan--is called a Bayes' Factor.

It represents the amount of information that we've learned about our hypotheses from the data.

Maria can use it to update her previous belief--or prior odds--that it's 1.5x more likely that

Jordan is a fellow Star Wars fan.

All she has to do is multiply her prior beliefs--the one's she held before she had any new information--by

the Bayes Factor which tells her how much to change her belief, now that she has gotten some evidence.

The resulting belief is called her posterior belief in this case 2.97.

And she can continue to incorporate new information.

When Jordan says that his dog is named Anakin, she can again update her beliefs.

Or just ask!

Mathematically, we took Maria's prior belief:

And updated it with our Bayes Factor, which told us how much our data--Jordan seeing the

new Star Wars movie--should change her beliefs about his fanhood.

This is a very simple example of how we can use Bayesian Hypothesis Testing to compare

the probabilities of different hypotheses based on data that we observe.

But this doesn't look exactly like the Bayes' Theorem that we saw at the beginning...

That's because instead of looking at the probability of one hypothesis given the data, we're

looking at the ratio of two hypotheses.

Instead of just calculating the probability that Jordan was a Star wars fan, given that

he'd seen the latest film, we compared the probabilities of the two hypotheses, given

that he'd seen the movie.

So we're really looking at the ratio of two calculations of Bayes' Theorem because

we're comparing two posterior probabilities.

Luckily, the probability of having seen the latest Star Wars movie is the same in both

equations, so it cancels out and we end up with this:

In Bayesian Statistics, these things are called:

the Prior--what you believed before you saw any evidence

the likelihood--a measure of how much your evidence should change your prior beliefs

And the Posterior--what you believe after you've seen the evidence

In a more general form we can say that after we see the data, how likely one hypothesis

is compared to the other is equal to the ratio of how likely we thought these hypotheses

were before we got any evidence, adjusted by the evidence with which the data provided us.

This reflects the core idea of Bayesian Hypothesis testing: Updating what you currently believe,

with new information.

But notice that I said that you update your belief.

Inherently, what we believe is subjective.

It depends on who we are, and what we've experienced.

While Maria initially believed that a star wars fan is 1.5 times more likely than an

non fan, you may believe something else.

Like that it's just as likely that someone is a fan and not a fan.

And since this is just a personal belief, it's okay that you and Maria believe something

different to begin with.

But we used Maria's prior beliefs in our calculations, if you were to do the same calculations,

you'd come up with a different number.

And this is one criticism that Bayesian statistical inference faces.

One of the main uses of statistics is science which is supposed to be relatively "objective"

and not influenced by opinion, and yet, here's a method that includes beliefs in its calculation.

For example, say a scientist bases her conclusion that Extra Sensory Perception (ESP) exists

on the posterior odds of her Bayesian calculation.

She concludes from her study that it is 5 times more likely that ESP exists than doesn't exist.

But upon reading her paper, you find that her prior beliefs about the probability of

ESP were way higher were way higher than yours.

She assumed that it was just as likely that ESP exists as it is that ESP doesn't exist.

And that just doesn't seem right to you.

You could find another scientist who has about the same prior beliefs about ESP as you do...

but that seems difficult and a bit inefficient…

There is a better solution.

Often studies that use Bayesian calculations will not just report their posterior odds,

but also the Bayes Factor that they calculated.

If you disagreed with a researcher's prior odds, you could use the reported Bayes Factor

to adjust your own, different beliefs about these two specific hypotheses.

For example, if you believed that it was 1,000 times more likely that ESP doesn't exist,

you could use the researcher's reported Bayes Factor, 5, and adjust your own beliefs:

Even though the evidence in the study makes you believe that ESP is more likely than before,

you still think it's relatively unlikely that ESP exists.

Even though Bayesian Hypothesis Testing includes subjective beliefs, the Bayes factor allows

you, and anyone else, to use the evidence from a study or analysis to update whatever

your prior beliefs about the two specified hypotheses!

Just like you and the ESP favoring researcher, sometimes evidence can lead two people to

very different conclusions.

But often, unless someone has already decided something has a 0% probability, when there's

sufficient evidence, two people with different prior odds will come to the same conclusion.

For example, you initially believe that sushi is pretty dangerous and has a high risk of

infecting you with parasites, and your co-worker thinks that the risk is low to moderate.

If you both see your boss and entire team go out to sushi every week for 2 years and

not have any issues with parasites, both of you, despite your initial differences, would

probably have updated your beliefs with this new information and concluded that sushi is

pretty safe after all.

If you had only seen your boss go out to sushi 4 times without getting a parasite, you may

have each come to different conclusions since that's not as much evidence.

You may still think sushi is pretty risky, but that may have been enough evidence to

convince your co-worker it's safe.

Your current beliefs would rely more on your prior beliefs than the new evidence.

But the huge amount of evidence provided by a group of healthy co-workers over 2 years

was enough to overwhelm your and your coworker's prior beliefs.

So your new, posterior beliefs are more affected by the evidence than your prior beliefs.

Bayesian hypothesis testing provides a structured way to quantify a logical process that we

do every day, incorporating new events into the way that we see the world.

It provides an explanation...or at least a hypothesis--about why two people can see the

same evidence and reach different conclusions.

In some situations, the logic of Bayesian methods similar to how we think naturally.

Like a doctor who uses patient symptoms like fever and fatigue to update the prior odds

that a patient has the flu compared to a cold so that they can prescribe the correct treatment.

Or the way that you updated your belief that your best friend is a kind, caring person

by continuously incorporating evidence of their kindness--like covering the cost of

your Starbucks when you lost your wallet, or helping you move.

In real life you don't ignore all previous pieces of evidence you saw as soon as you

get a new one, and Bayesian Inference allows for you to take your new updated beliefs and

update them again.

As some Bayesians say, "yesterday's posterior (your updated belief), is today's prior

(the beliefs to be updated)"

Thanks for Watching, I'll see you next time.

For more infomation >> You know I'm all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24 - Duration: 12:05.

-------------------------------------------

Razer Kraken 7.1 V2 Mercury White Review - Duration: 3:30.

[Music]

Hello les Gamers, hope you're fine

This is a quick review for the Razer Kraken 7.1 V2 Mercury White Edtion headset

What attracted me the most in this edition is the headset color

The white and the metallic gray are very beautiful. Better than the classic black headsets

and it reminds us the astronaut helmets

The packaging is personalized Mercury White

inside you can find the headset, the user manual, the Razer thanks and the 2 Chroma stickers

The Kraken 7.1 V2 is partly made of Bauxite Aluminum

which makes it light, with less than 350g on the scale, but also resistant with a long lifetime

The headband is printed with the Razer logo, it's flexible with padding for maximum comfort during long play sessions

The headband is also adjustable, with marked levels to help you easily find your size

for the Mercury White version, the ear cushuions are oval and larger with 70mm on 60mm

The black versions and the Kraken Pro V2 have round and smaller ear cushion,

with an inner diameter of 56mm. Both forms are very comfortable,

with a lot of padding and excellent sound isolation

The Chroma lighting in the Mercury White version is very beautiful.

the Razer Logo is very well highlighted. We have a choice between 16.8 million colors

and as usual, we find the 3 effects: Static, Spectrum and Breathing

The headset has a white braided cable of 2 meters long,

it's solid even and perfectly works if it is crooked or stretched.

Of course Razer did not forget it prints by making a green USB connector.

On the other hand, unfortunately, there is no volume controler on the cable,

so you can only increase or decrease the volume directly from the PC.

7.1 surround sound gives you excellent sound quality

You can find out from which angle the noise comes from and spot your enemies more easily

The headset is also compatible on PS4 but with a Stereo sound

7.1 engine is customizable on Razer Synapse

on which you can choose your audio preferences, the microphone settings

a predefined sound according to the audio quality you like

and of course you can control the LED lighting of the logo and choose the preferred effect

Retractable and flexible, the microphone returns completely into the headset

Now you listen to the mic quality.it's pretty good and helps a lot during gaming sessions

Thanks to the active noise cancelation system, which isolates your voice and makes you clearly heard by all your team

Another good point is the mute button. It is directly integrated into the microphone

and which turns red when the sound is cut off.

The headset is available at Zoom Informatique, it costs 339 Tunisian Dinars

You will find the direct link to the product in the description.

To summarize the Kraken 7.1 V2 is a lightweight and sturdy headset

Thanks to its headband made of Bauxite aluminum

the oval ear cushions of the Mercury White version are large and comfortable

it guarantees a more immersive 7.1 experience

The colors of this edition are very beautiful and highlight the Chroma lighting of the logo.

The unidirectional microphone is clear, but there is no built-in volume controller on the cable

It was a quick review of the Razer Kraken 7.1 V2 Mercury White Edition

You will find more details in the description.

If you liked the video, don't forget to click on the Like button

Don't forget to subscribe to my Youtube channel, my facebook page, my Twitter, Instagram and Snapchat accounts.

Thank you for your likes, your comments and the messages you write to me

While waiting for the next video, don't forget to do what you love in life,

because it's simply just too short. See you next time!

[Music]

For more infomation >> Razer Kraken 7.1 V2 Mercury White Review - Duration: 3:30.

-------------------------------------------

琅琊榜:胡歌最对不起的人是他! - Duration: 6:36.

For more infomation >> 琅琊榜:胡歌最对不起的人是他! - Duration: 6:36.

-------------------------------------------

林志玲、江疏影穿白裙衬托优点,唯独孙俪穿白裙露出缺点! - Duration: 3:41.

For more infomation >> 林志玲、江疏影穿白裙衬托优点,唯独孙俪穿白裙露出缺点! - Duration: 3:41.

-------------------------------------------

Je n'ai jamais aussi bien dormi depuis que j'ai découvert cette astuce |MDSO - Duration: 5:58.

For more infomation >> Je n'ai jamais aussi bien dormi depuis que j'ai découvert cette astuce |MDSO - Duration: 5:58.

-------------------------------------------

For more infomation >> Je n'ai jamais aussi bien dormi depuis que j'ai découvert cette astuce |MDSO - Duration: 5:58.

-------------------------------------------

25/07/2018 22:08 (538 High St N, London E12 6QN, UK) - Duration: 5:04.

For more infomation >> 25/07/2018 22:08 (538 High St N, London E12 6QN, UK) - Duration: 5:04.

-------------------------------------------

For more infomation >> 25/07/2018 22:08 (538 High St N, London E12 6QN, UK) - Duration: 5:04.

-------------------------------------------

56岁孤身一人,却是我们最好的周星驰 - Duration: 6:07.

For more infomation >> 56岁孤身一人,却是我们最好的周星驰 - Duration: 6:07.

-------------------------------------------

For more infomation >> 56岁孤身一人,却是我们最好的周星驰 - Duration: 6:07.

-------------------------------------------

MA CHAMBRE - Duration: 8:50.

For more infomation >> MA CHAMBRE - Duration: 8:50.

-------------------------------------------

For more infomation >> MA CHAMBRE - Duration: 8:50.

-------------------------------------------

You know I'm all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24 - Duration: 12:05.

Hi, I'm Adriene Hill, and Welcome back to Crash Course, Statistics.

We all have ideas about how the world works.

And even if we haven't ever used numbers to describe them, we see different beliefs

everywhere we go.

From whether it's healthier to be a vegetarian... to whether school uniforms are a good idea;

we all have slightly different "models" of how the world works.

And yet we all agree on a lot.

For example, we all believe the sun will come up tomorrow morning--or at least that it'll

come up eventually if you live at the poles.

And we all believe that the Oxygen atoms in the room won't all suddenly move to one

corner of the room, leaving us to suffocate.

And almost all our beliefs change based on our experience.

That's why your friend with a snake that he cuddles with all the time isn't as afraid

of snakes as you are...since your only exposure to snakes is that one time when you were hiking

and a rattlesnake almost bit your dog.

Our beliefs are numerous, sometimes complex, and consistently changing.

So it can be useful to have a way of doing statistical inference that reflects that.

INTRO

Bayes' Theorem--or Bayes Rule--tells us the that probability of A given B, is the

probability of B given A times the probability of A, all divided by the probability of B.

And remember that the numerator in this equation is just another--way of writing the probability of A and B.

For example, When you're out to lunch, your sister mentions that she have a friend who

has breast cancer, but doesn't say much else.

You recently saw a documentary about males with breast cancer.

Because it's so fresh in your mind, you wonder if your sister's friend is a male.

Your gut feeling is that it's not that likely they're male... but let's quantify that.

You want to know the probability that your sister's friend is male, given that you

know that friend has breast cancer.

Using Bayes' theorem, we can calculate this probability.

The probability of being male, given that you have breast cancer is equal to the probability

of having breast cancer given that you are male times the probability of being male,

divided by the probability of having breast cancer.

Thanks to government health agencies, we know many of these statistics.

The probability of getting breast cancer given that you're male is 0.001, and we will assume

the probability of being male is 0.5.

The overall probability of getting breast cancer is 0.063.

Armed with your facts you calculate that the probability that your sister's

friend is male is only about 0.79%...so...not very likely.

But maybe more likely than you would have anticipated.

If we rearrange Bayes' Theorem slightly you can see that it allows you to update your

beliefs based on new information:

When we used Bayes' Theorem what we were really doing was updating our belief that

a person was male (probably about 50/50 odds if you know nothing else about them) with

the new information that they had breast cancer.

This new information changed our belief; we went from a 50 percent chance to about a 0.79%

chance just by taking into account this new information.

This idea about updating beliefs is core to Bayesian statistics and can be used to test hypotheses.

We start with some idea or belief about how something works.

For example, you set your friend Maria up on a blind date.

Maria's excited, but nervous, and on her way to the coffee shop to meet her blind date

Jordan, she wonders whether he shares her love of Star Wars.

From her experience meeting people in the city, she believes that in general, there

are slightly more Star Wars fans than non fans.

She guesses there's a 60% chance that a given person is a Star Wars fan, and a 40%

chance they are not, which means that she thinks it's 1.5 times more likely that someone is a fan.

When Maria arrives at the coffee shop she and Jordan do the normal first date small talk.

He asks her what she did this last weekend, and she told him that she saw the new Star

Wars movie.

Jordan says he did too!

After hearing this, Maria feels like it's more likely that she might have met her Porg

loving soulmate.

She knows that not everyone who's seen Star Wars is a fan, but she can use the fact that

Jordan has seen it to update her belief about whether or not he is one… or she could ask!

Maria knows that the probability of having seen the last Star Wars movie given that you're

a fan is 0.99, since pretty much all the fans rushed to see the movie.

But not everyone who went to see the movie were fans.

Some were just curious, and others were dragged by family or friends to see it.

She thinks that the approximate probability of having seen the movie given that you're

not a fan is 0.5, since some but not all non-fans went to see it.

Maria can use the ratio of these two probabilities: To see which hypothesis is more probable given

that we know Jordan saw the movie.

Based on Maria's quick calculations, this new information means that it's now 1.98

times more likely that Jordan is a Star Wars fan than not.

Her heart starts beating a little faster!

This ratio of the probability of our information under one hypothesis--that he's a fan--compared

to another--that he's not a fan--is called a Bayes' Factor.

It represents the amount of information that we've learned about our hypotheses from the data.

Maria can use it to update her previous belief--or prior odds--that it's 1.5x more likely that

Jordan is a fellow Star Wars fan.

All she has to do is multiply her prior beliefs--the one's she held before she had any new information--by

the Bayes Factor which tells her how much to change her belief, now that she has gotten some evidence.

The resulting belief is called her posterior belief in this case 2.97.

And she can continue to incorporate new information.

When Jordan says that his dog is named Anakin, she can again update her beliefs.

Or just ask!

Mathematically, we took Maria's prior belief:

And updated it with our Bayes Factor, which told us how much our data--Jordan seeing the

new Star Wars movie--should change her beliefs about his fanhood.

This is a very simple example of how we can use Bayesian Hypothesis Testing to compare

the probabilities of different hypotheses based on data that we observe.

But this doesn't look exactly like the Bayes' Theorem that we saw at the beginning...

That's because instead of looking at the probability of one hypothesis given the data, we're

looking at the ratio of two hypotheses.

Instead of just calculating the probability that Jordan was a Star wars fan, given that

he'd seen the latest film, we compared the probabilities of the two hypotheses, given

that he'd seen the movie.

So we're really looking at the ratio of two calculations of Bayes' Theorem because

we're comparing two posterior probabilities.

Luckily, the probability of having seen the latest Star Wars movie is the same in both

equations, so it cancels out and we end up with this:

In Bayesian Statistics, these things are called:

the Prior--what you believed before you saw any evidence

the likelihood--a measure of how much your evidence should change your prior beliefs

And the Posterior--what you believe after you've seen the evidence

In a more general form we can say that after we see the data, how likely one hypothesis

is compared to the other is equal to the ratio of how likely we thought these hypotheses

were before we got any evidence, adjusted by the evidence with which the data provided us.

This reflects the core idea of Bayesian Hypothesis testing: Updating what you currently believe,

with new information.

But notice that I said that you update your belief.

Inherently, what we believe is subjective.

It depends on who we are, and what we've experienced.

While Maria initially believed that a star wars fan is 1.5 times more likely than an

non fan, you may believe something else.

Like that it's just as likely that someone is a fan and not a fan.

And since this is just a personal belief, it's okay that you and Maria believe something

different to begin with.

But we used Maria's prior beliefs in our calculations, if you were to do the same calculations,

you'd come up with a different number.

And this is one criticism that Bayesian statistical inference faces.

One of the main uses of statistics is science which is supposed to be relatively "objective"

and not influenced by opinion, and yet, here's a method that includes beliefs in its calculation.

For example, say a scientist bases her conclusion that Extra Sensory Perception (ESP) exists

on the posterior odds of her Bayesian calculation.

She concludes from her study that it is 5 times more likely that ESP exists than doesn't exist.

But upon reading her paper, you find that her prior beliefs about the probability of

ESP were way higher were way higher than yours.

She assumed that it was just as likely that ESP exists as it is that ESP doesn't exist.

And that just doesn't seem right to you.

You could find another scientist who has about the same prior beliefs about ESP as you do...

but that seems difficult and a bit inefficient…

There is a better solution.

Often studies that use Bayesian calculations will not just report their posterior odds,

but also the Bayes Factor that they calculated.

If you disagreed with a researcher's prior odds, you could use the reported Bayes Factor

to adjust your own, different beliefs about these two specific hypotheses.

For example, if you believed that it was 1,000 times more likely that ESP doesn't exist,

you could use the researcher's reported Bayes Factor, 5, and adjust your own beliefs:

Even though the evidence in the study makes you believe that ESP is more likely than before,

you still think it's relatively unlikely that ESP exists.

Even though Bayesian Hypothesis Testing includes subjective beliefs, the Bayes factor allows

you, and anyone else, to use the evidence from a study or analysis to update whatever

your prior beliefs about the two specified hypotheses!

Just like you and the ESP favoring researcher, sometimes evidence can lead two people to

very different conclusions.

But often, unless someone has already decided something has a 0% probability, when there's

sufficient evidence, two people with different prior odds will come to the same conclusion.

For example, you initially believe that sushi is pretty dangerous and has a high risk of

infecting you with parasites, and your co-worker thinks that the risk is low to moderate.

If you both see your boss and entire team go out to sushi every week for 2 years and

not have any issues with parasites, both of you, despite your initial differences, would

probably have updated your beliefs with this new information and concluded that sushi is

pretty safe after all.

If you had only seen your boss go out to sushi 4 times without getting a parasite, you may

have each come to different conclusions since that's not as much evidence.

You may still think sushi is pretty risky, but that may have been enough evidence to

convince your co-worker it's safe.

Your current beliefs would rely more on your prior beliefs than the new evidence.

But the huge amount of evidence provided by a group of healthy co-workers over 2 years

was enough to overwhelm your and your coworker's prior beliefs.

So your new, posterior beliefs are more affected by the evidence than your prior beliefs.

Bayesian hypothesis testing provides a structured way to quantify a logical process that we

do every day, incorporating new events into the way that we see the world.

It provides an explanation...or at least a hypothesis--about why two people can see the

same evidence and reach different conclusions.

In some situations, the logic of Bayesian methods similar to how we think naturally.

Like a doctor who uses patient symptoms like fever and fatigue to update the prior odds

that a patient has the flu compared to a cold so that they can prescribe the correct treatment.

Or the way that you updated your belief that your best friend is a kind, caring person

by continuously incorporating evidence of their kindness--like covering the cost of

your Starbucks when you lost your wallet, or helping you move.

In real life you don't ignore all previous pieces of evidence you saw as soon as you

get a new one, and Bayesian Inference allows for you to take your new updated beliefs and

update them again.

As some Bayesians say, "yesterday's posterior (your updated belief), is today's prior

(the beliefs to be updated)"

Thanks for Watching, I'll see you next time.

For more infomation >> You know I'm all about that Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #24 - Duration: 12:05.

-------------------------------------------

Grant reviewers to decide who gets part of $12M Children and Youth Fund - Duration: 2:31.

For more infomation >> Grant reviewers to decide who gets part of $12M Children and Youth Fund - Duration: 2:31.

-------------------------------------------

The Truth: I Went to Tanacon, Homophobia, and More! - Duration: 16:40.

Hello my people

Hello my people so I decided I've made a lot of like really emotional

Videos like serious videos and this is really cool

And I decided I wanted to make something or it just feels like we're hanging out

I'm gonna bring up some serious topics and give you guys advice. But I also just want to like joke around a good time. Okay

Basically, like really sell off this video. I got a ukulele and I posted my coming out like one day ago, and I'm like

Okay, how do I celebrate I only texted it was like, okay, how should I celebrate?

I don't know people were like, oh Rome and I was like hmm. I'm gonna buy myself a ukulele and paint it gay

In fact, we're gonna make it beyond even just being gay

We're gonna paint the whole flag and get all the spectrums in so I decided to be ukulele and just talk to you guys

I don't know

I was inspired by my friend component like hell disarray coffee in the morning

But let's talk about things and I tweeted you guys and ask you guys and asked what Instagram behind you guys

Just bring up its a note of topics. They should talk about and I'm gonna talk about them

Yeah, first I designed my merch and if you guys want to sneak peek of my next video

I will only do it in my next video if this gets

Twenty five thousand likes. I'm watching you and give me a giveaway. If you follow me on instagram at Jesse page

I'm going to actually give away

Follow my trash -

I

Put some weird stuff on there. Let's get started. All right, this is for all of you

My people this is basically me celebrating and uploading my coming-out hope with you guys because I wanna sell this way my people

So I started painting but I realized that maybe easier it is to like paint markers

So I might do that which it was kind of cheating

But I want to make sure it's good when I use the ukulele be proud of it

And the first one I think this one is very irrelevant

Someone asked for me to talk about homophobia

Not gonna lie since I have come out I have dealt with it through some people my personal life and a life

I did lose quite a few followers, but I mean

I cursed what it's been like recently happening a lot. I don't know what's happening to me

I promise I'm still soft

You have gotten some comments some people that don't support

And we're not happy that I came out online and in real life. I also had

And I'm a strong girl something new that I've had to learn to cope with but I'm dealing with it

Sometimes it's good to just not take things, too

Seriously, because you just can't like you literally can't if I took every comments super seriously

Comfortable with myself, you know, so I would say yeah just not taking things too

seriously

Recently I tweeted about this but I kinda homophobic the dog Instagram

What dogs are not homophobic think about it?

I have a dog my dog have never discriminated me for my sexuality or for my identity

You know address whatever it is. Don't care. Don't just want to love and company

So hiding behind your dog's Instagram is cool man. It was some intense stuff about burning in hell

And then like the dogs Instagram and how to ten of bows

It was like I love the dressing up with my sister was like, oh my gosh. I wore behd for such a

But I would say I could have looked at that comment

I'd be like, oh my gosh, but I was like, you know, I'm comfortable with myself

I'm happy and I know that dog. We wish the best for me make me do not the words and make me mouth

But yes, I've been dealing with some homophobia in my real life minutes to the little interstage. Where's that video?

What's the only coming out to you guys, but I mean the verb, you know

My family and stuff like there were people and right

It's like there were friends that didn't know but there were a lot of people my life that didn't know

So it was like childhood best friends and stuff. Like I had so many texts when people haven't talked to me forever

It's still something like getting used to actually talking about with more than like, you know

like my like 10 closest friends and also are a part of the community or

Coming out the paint I

Would say well what I hope this channel is a place where you feel comfortable to is just being confident within yourself and getting to

that point it's so important taking time and understand yourself and knowing that you are who you are and that's so

Incredible and there are so many people that do support you out there. I support you. Okay. We're very supportive here

Well, I mean, obviously I do

Living alone for the first time. Ooh

So I live alone and I personally go through phases where I love it and hate it

But I don't think I could do my life any other way

I mean physically like I could but for me it just works best

You have tried to convince myself that I have become an extrovert and I have learned

Don't do it, Jessie

you are an introvert truly through and through I love my channel which my Instagram stories and stuff tell otherwise

But that's because I never like post anything that I'm just sitting by myself watching chain posted videos or something

You know living alone has taught me so much about myself. It's really so much responsibility

It's a little bit of fear. Generally at first was really hard for me

I moved out when I turned 17

Which is really a long but I think it's become a stronger person from it and a lot of benefits to

Saying it was hoppier lungs like no bereavement stressing out about you or just watch some weird animation all the night

Which I have full app dying

but I think it's also really easy for me to just isolate myself and like totally

Not one of them talk to anyone and when I'm unhappy it's easy for me to just cave in and just you know

Not reach out when I need help and friends and that's so incredibly important to reach other people

So i've been learning to do that a lot more and brown myself for that. It's definitely taking time

So I messed up I tried actual pain it just like was not working it was too thick

Not thick

But yeah, you can do it. You can live alone. You're gonna learn so much about yourself

There's so many benefits and I think and you it's gonna be hard at first

It's hard for everyone at first I give you all the love pray for the wicked

I had so many people want me to talk about pray for the wicked. So that is painted, Minnesota

How about lyrically?

Really resonate with that alava because all about how movies and everything everything about Hollywood and have you come here with these dreams?

He's like very pretty dreams

but then you see reality and the reality of the

entertainment industry isn't as

Beautiful as its portrayed of all it can be so incredibly dirty and I think that's a lot of the theme of the new album

Which I really like. I love the music video for heylet's my I made it

I had a few friends that were underwhelmed

I was not underwhelmed see finding recording the song notes for a long time on Twitter Frank. You know it Steve

It's all have a listening to the overpass 24/7. I put it in my coming out video

So I loved it so much. I wanted a bit songs and there that of just like really been with me

I was so nervous to upload that video whatever. I was like kind of coming nerds or whatever

I just listened to that song you feel a lot better. So like I need to put this in the video

It's just a large part of my life through this whole process. So I

But I love to pray for the wicked I've been in this household they slam the table we love it

I will support Brendon Urie with my heart and soul and I think he is one

Insanely talented individual and I will be at that concert you bet

There's intimidated my neighbors, did you pre-order pray for the weekend?

Anxiety, I have really good control over it and then recently things have been a mess, but it kind of makes sense

I have had obviously a

Nerve-wracking a few weeks hosting it did give me quite a bit of like three occurrences of my olds anxious tendencies

Which is really sad because you know

It's supposed to be something celebrated and I hope in the future other people don't have to feel that anxiety

I felt the process of this video posting it I

Am going to work on it now. I went to cheap therapy last year

They stopped because I had really good control over everything and this year's been really hard for me

If you follow me on social media, you know, it's just not been a nice

You know, it's so crazy. This year has probably been like the most eventful year of my whole entire life

It's just been constant event after event and not always the most fun

Things happening with this life. I've had really high highs and really high lows high hopes

But I'm working on it and that's important

but I will continue to work on myself and also take my

Experiences just in life and a lot of you my grandma's a therapist and she has very serious

Braemore and mental illness and I like this that's such a beautiful thing when she's going through

Demisexuality in just the asexual aromantic

Community in general like we don't get recognized as much. Yes

I talked about being demisexual and I didn't realize it have such a reaction which I think is really cool because

Humans tend to operate in the opposite way where they are sexually attracted first sometimes but for me

Yeah, it ordered for me to like feel sexually attracted to someone like I have to build that romantic relationship first

I didn't even know if I was gonna talk about it in the video because it's not always as well known

But I was like wait that's more of a reason to talk about it. Why not?

and I was like

I don't know if that's like too much to talk about like we may be able to just talk about for now my bisexuality

But so many people appreciated it team that made me so happy

So insanely happy looks pretty sexuality. I've seen shows and I've seen

Representation and we're getting there but I think there's definitely a lot to do. There's so many horrible

Stereotypes about asexuality, you know like this little stereotype that are cold-hearted and it's not true

I know so many wonderful a romantic asexuals and I don't know I think break sigmaz more. Yeah

How do you deal with crushes dude you needed for me on this? I don't know how to deal with them

I have cartoon crushes. Like that's a thing. You know that I'm like out I can bully talk about it girl

Superhero characters have always been a thing for me just like Starfire from Teen Titans bisexual culture is winning today

It's Robin and star pack

But dealing with crushes someone help me with that

I don't know so many attractive humans. So many lovely humans. Show me mark humans

Yes humans that are beautiful inside and out we love but then with all these beautiful humans

Comes crushes and then you don't know what to do. Listen

We got this together and this

households

we support each other make group chats and Twitter Instagram talk about their crushes and relate to each other feel like you're not the only

One what sucks though? I know I keep getting back to LGBT thing, but it's just this is me celebrating my video

It sucks when you're attracted to a person and you don't know if they're also attracted to your gender or the same gender

Whatever the situation is. Oh the worst the worst. That's a struggle

I'm sure a lot of people relate to that

a lot of people asked me to talk about Tanic on and the only reason why I'm going to talk about it is because I

Was there I haven't talked about this on social media, but I was asked Hannah Khan. I was on the website

I was a creator there. I was announced like everything. I was a full experience

I was very low-key about it because it's been a little controversial recently the big conversation

But yeah, I was there have like footage of myself and walked it. It was very crazy

I left early because large crowds don't do well with me. I just actually finished Shane Dawson's like series he did on it

I just finished so good. Oh, he's so talented, but his bisexuals coming out video

Ever watch that was I sexual I really resonated managed

Appreciate him as a person man. I don't know makes me proud me youtubers

That's my armbar gut for the day as per Tanika, I don't know it's hard

I don't know exactly how I feel yet Tim and I talked in the DMS. Everything was going pretty well there

I was surprised by how many people were there?

that was like probably the biggest day but like everything was going really well the panic on and then suddenly like things were trending gonna

go hectic and suddenly they're working like creators leave like leave the building and

I told my friends that I went with I was like girl we have to leave right now

I don't want to be stuck in this convention centers. I'm like, I'm scared

And we left but I was there for a pretty long time how lot of friends that were doing and I just wanted to come

Hang with them and I just see what it was. Like I literally like kind of photo

Booth they had their like I literally was there all the creators there were so nice

So insanely nice like the gabbie show that whole group. They were all very nice a

Lot of you guys were there I was actually shocked

I didn't think it was really my audience that much everyone like knows this

This is you know, this isn't new knowledge, but it was very hectic

I was very scared and nervous for one of the kids as for the like tea

I don't know. Am I really a team except for like seeing that kid get crushed that the door was really scary

I'm just hoping everyone was safe and it was definitely a very interesting experience for me

I'm gonna wine could have done a little bit better with this but it's okay

I mean like I'm never gonna use it, but it's not that cool

Yeah

Your girl was there. I understood this human being on the internet

What I was doing there, it was hectic

I literally was there for like 3 hours and then I just went home I was so overwhelmed

And we're thinking copings like being here and I just I left your girl left it's how it's looking so far

Oh, yeah, it's getting there right - chewy someone said so if you don't follow me on Twitter, basically

My humor is very weird

Why would you see we didn't know you all know it my humor is weird, but you guys all appreciate it

So it's it's hella cute. It's a thing ratatouille - Russia - II

Are weird we had someone come or mean greets this was legendary with the whole entire ratatouille movie tripped on it

Not only do we talk about mental health

But I also share that the rats name is not right in - it's in fact Remy and I think there's something beautiful about that

Work though. This is like my Twitter my branding a mess

Let's just pour out right now, I'll give you a little close-up

This is where we are at how to cover my mess ups with just like a lob to glue glitter

But I kind of like it. Yes, but anyways guys

Whoa now I'm super dark

We're here for wholesome content in this household. Oh, it's still dark

Your local anime protagonist

Finished with it for now. I'm gonna put stickers on top of the glitter, but I just tweeted and all of you guys

You're like, oh my gosh make me win and thought it was super cute

give this a thumbs up if you want me to do another one and I'll give it away to one of you guys I definitely

Want to keep this one because it's emotionally significant. That's okay. Oh, she's out of tune. Oh, yeah, we're going out right too

Chewy, another thing

I have to say probably most legendary thing ratatouille came out like the movie came out the same day that I came out

I love my people a lot. I stand you all

I'm a proud father a minute feature you all it's basically

Chose you on the fridge and your post

I stand you all in this household

And remember if you're ever having a bad day this trip brought it - we came out the same day

I came out well, and I will see you guys in

future

For more infomation >> The Truth: I Went to Tanacon, Homophobia, and More! - Duration: 16:40.

-------------------------------------------

Kylie Jenner can earn $1M per Instagram post - Video - Duration: 3:48.

Kylie Jenner thrashed her sister Kim Kardashian and singer Selena Gomez to become this year's biggest earner on Instagram — earning $1 million per post

The 20-year-old has topped the social network's 2018 Rich List and elbowed Justin Bieber's ex down to second place

Jenner has a whopping 110 million followers on Instagram while Gomez has 139 million

The huge fan base means Gomez, 26, can demand a staggering $800,000 per post.Footie ace Cristiano Ronaldo came third on the list — calling in $750,000 for a sponsored pic

Kardashian, 38, trailed behind in fourth place but it's doubtful she's complaining, as the mom-of-three has the potential to rake in $720,000 with every upload

Beyoncé made up the top five and can snap away for no less than $700,000 per photo

The stats were gathered by Instagram scheduling tool HopperHQ.com, but the stars have never directly confirmed how much they actually earn per post

The report comes after Jenner was tipped to become the youngest self-made billionaire ever by Forbes magazine

The lip kit boss made it on to publication's prestigious cover and into this year's list of the 60 Richest Self-Made Women

Forbes has valued Jenner's cosmetics company at $900 million and the reality star owns 100 percent of it

At the time Kardashian defended Jenner, who recently had all of her lip filler removed, after fans said she wasn't self-made and said in an interview with Refinery29: "I really didn't get it, because she is self-made — we are all self-made

She added: "What, because we came from a family that has had success?."To me, that doesn't really make sense … I know so many people like that who haven't turned out to be as successful as Kylie

If anything, I've seen the complete opposite.".Kardashian also said she's never asked their parents for handouts

She added: "Me, Kylie, not one [of the siblings] has ever depended on our parents for anything besides advice

That's how I lived my life with my dad [Robert Kardashian]. He never gave me anything

We might have the opportunity, but I've seen it go the complete opposite way."Nobody works harder than my sisters and my mom

For more infomation >> Kylie Jenner can earn $1M per Instagram post - Video - Duration: 3:48.

-------------------------------------------

【ハムスターおもしろ可愛い癒し】寝床で超幸せそう!可愛すぎる爆睡ハムスターHappy hamster in bed - Duration: 1:59.

Thanks for subscribing to my channel!Please RT!

For more infomation >> 【ハムスターおもしろ可愛い癒し】寝床で超幸せそう!可愛すぎる爆睡ハムスターHappy hamster in bed - Duration: 1:59.

-------------------------------------------

Gilbert Blythe || The last, the only - Duration: 3:51.

It's a big world son,

remember that

nice to have you here son,

will you read my favorite?

afoot and light-hearted

I take to the open road

healthy, free, the world before me

the long brown path before me

leading...

wherever I choose.

I feel like I should...

just stay close.

alright.

thank you son.

how long you're planning to stay on the ship?

I don't know.

I want to go wherever the spirit moves me.

that's what my dad used to say.

If I come back to Avonlea...

I want it to be my choice.

not...

an obligation.

is what my dad would have wanted.

choices...

I like that word

yeah.

I can't imagine is easy...

all alone at this time of the year.

we were a

large family for a while.

I'm the last,

the only.

what kind of strange child were you anyway Blythe?

needing to know about your own breech birth.

I didn't wanna know about my birth.

I wanted to know about my mother.

she died giving birth to me.

sorry.

I don't know what I would do if...

I don't know what I'm doing here anymore dad.

I'm sorry.

I am very sorry that I wasn't more sensitive about your father

and what loosing him really meant for you.

what am I supposed to want?

it's alright.

no, it's fine.

it's water under the bridge.

I felt trapped in Avonlea.

if I go back home

i may never be able to leave.

I wish you were here.

the truth is I...

I never really wanted to be a farmer.

how am I supposed to do all this by myself?

Ruth!

Ruth!

you wanna know something?

I was a breech baby too

and I lived tell the tale.

There's this other things calling out to you?

he was in his mother

just like your baby is in you now.

look at him!

your father would be very proud.

what's your problem?

he'll be glad glad I'm back home anyway.

ask me that again!

me...

not so sure.

I don't want to be a farmer.

you said that before.

now you're sure?

Anne!

you're back.

yes.

I'm gonna stay and work the farm with Bash like we planned.

so... you're not leaving school early.

I want to be with my family.

welcome home!

Welcome home to you too.

For more infomation >> Gilbert Blythe || The last, the only - Duration: 3:51.

-------------------------------------------

People Told Me To Feed This To Induce Breeding Activity - Duration: 5:13.

Oh Man, this is gonna be an epic slow motion feed.

Oh man, this is going to be epic!

Greetings everybody this is Paul The inventoryking, would love if you guys can punch the subscribe

button, click on that notification bell, I'd be honored for you guys to become subscribers

and join me on my channel and my fish keeping adventures.

So on one of my last videos I talked about how we are going to be feeding these guys

heavily to try and induce breeding, to try to get them to start breeding.

Well, I got a lot of comments that said go ahead and feed them frozen krill.

In this, uh, in this cup here, so that, with tank water of course.

So as you can see, we're going to go here and then we're just going to break some of

this apart in the bag.

Oh Man, this is gonna be an epic slow motion feed.

Oh man, this is going to be epic!

Nice!

So we need to let that defrost now, need to let it defrost.

So what I'm about to do, do you all think that it's going to work?

In those comments down below, let me know what you guys think.

Would love to see what your guys comments are.

I love when you guys comment.

I love to respond to you guys, I appreciate everything that you guys comment on, like,

share, subscribe, all that good stuff.

So are we ready to do this?

Let's do it.

Alright.

We are ready to do this epic feeding.

This is the first time I'm feeding this to them as you can see it as ready to go.

All right, so check them out.

There's quite a few of them eating it.

There's a few that seemed like they were like, what in the world is that?

There's a few down here as you can see.

So I'm hoping that they are going to head that way and notice them pretty soon.

But yeah, they are chowing down and loving it I'm assuming.

There we go.

There we go.

A little bit of male action there.

These predators have such big mouths.

It's an awesome thing to see.

You could see that dude just chewing on that Krill.

HAHAHA, That's awesome.

This lady's chewing on some.

That one looks to be.

This is awesome.

So I'm probably gonna end up feeding some of this a couple times a week just to see

what happens.

This dude right here is awesome.

Look at this beast chewing on that Krill, Loving it!

Pretty sweet huh?

It is so awesome to feed our fish.

Whatever fish you have, one of the funnest parts of the hobby.

So again, thank you so much for watching.

If you could punch that subscribe button and Click on the notification bell, I'd be honored

for you guys to join me on my channel and my fish keeping adventurous.

If you can like the video, share the video, that would be awesome.

You guys are great.

Thank you so much and stay tanked.

For more infomation >> People Told Me To Feed This To Induce Breeding Activity - Duration: 5:13.

-------------------------------------------

Chris Hayes Explains Why MSNBC IGNORES Important Issues – They're Ratings Killers! - Duration: 4:29.

MSNBC host Chris Hayes admitted something on Tuesday night that I'm sure his corporate

media masters are not going to be too happy about.

Chris Hayes posted something about climate change and how devastating the effects were

of climate change in Greece.

He got a response from it on Twitter that said, "Sure would be nice if our news networks,

the only outlets that can force change in this country, would cover it with commiserate

urgency.

Acting as if there's nothing to be done is just excusable."

It's just not excusable, excuse me.

So that was the tweet that responded to Chris Hayes who was talking about climate change

on Twitter, and this is what Chris Hayes responded with.

"Almost without exception, every single time we've covered, it's been a palpable ratings

killer.

So the incentives are not great."

Climate change: an issue that affects every single human being on this planet, no matter

where they live, no matter how much money that have.

They don't cover it, they don't talk about it because it's a ratings killer.

Corporate media doesn't wanna talk about important issues, be it climate change or drug that's

gonna kill you, because those are snoozefests.

Why talk about that when Donald Trump just tweeted a tweet with a misspelled word, we

gotta spend five hours talking about that.

Hayes continued.

That was not the only tweet where he admitted the truth.

He went on to say this: "There is a vast array of stories for which this is true as well,

stories for which there simply is little exgenius audience demand," and I probably pronounced

that word wrong, my apologies.

But there's little audience demand.

You guys, you need to be out there demanding these stories, and I'm not gonna lie here,

Chris Hayes is 100% right.

Not only are these issues ratings killers, because we have seen it through our YouTube

channel, we've seen it on other's YouTube channels, but we still cover it.

Eyeballs don't necessarily matter.

What matters is that you're out there being honest to yourself, and reporting on the stories

that actually matter to people in this country and all around the globe.

Chris Hayes is not at fault here.

Do not get me wrong, I am not saying that.

Chris Hayes admitted the truth.

And what worries me here is that Chris Hayes is going to end up being punished for telling

the truth here.

How many times have you seen any member of the corporate media come out and say, "Yeah,

we don't talk about that because it doesn't get us ratings.

The people up on the top floor don't want us to do that."

Never, except of course for Cenk Uygur after he was let go from MSNBC for wanting to talk

about important issues.

Same thing with Ed Schultz.

I fear that Chris Hayes is about to go the same way.

Because he finally admitted the truth, he wasn't afraid to do it, and any time any reporter

at MSNBC, or any of these corporate media outlets, I mean, hell, all the way back to

Phil Donahue at MSNBC, any time they have the courage to go out there and admit the

truth, they lose their jobs.

I am confident and sad that that is probably going to happen to Chris Hayes, but his message

is clear.

The corporate masters at MSNBC, as well as the other networks, they don't let their hosts

talk about issues that affect your daily life because it is a "ratings killer."

So what you can do, public, not only demand that they go out and start covering these

stories, but even better than that, turn it off.

Corporate media should be dead to you.

They don't care what you want to know about, they don't care about the issues that affect

everything you do throughout your daily life.

So why should you care enough to give them your eyeballs, or any second of your life

when they don't care about that life, other than in terms of advertising dollars?

For more infomation >> Chris Hayes Explains Why MSNBC IGNORES Important Issues – They're Ratings Killers! - Duration: 4:29.

-------------------------------------------

Luck will play on August 9 - Duration: 3:15.

For more infomation >> Luck will play on August 9 - Duration: 3:15.

-------------------------------------------

DIY Reverse Speech: Clinton to Help Immigrant Families Reunite - Duration: 2:04.

For more infomation >> DIY Reverse Speech: Clinton to Help Immigrant Families Reunite - Duration: 2:04.

-------------------------------------------

Here's What I Think About Buying a Classic Car and More - Duration: 3:34.

rev up your engines, Jim Kowalski says, Scotty I'm young

24-year old, I have a passion for classic cars can you offer a recommendation on

how to get started with a classic car hobby and how I might learn to restore a

car properly, okay you're starting so don't go for a super-expensive classic

like don't go for a 67 Mustang Fastback, it's too much money, you're gonna get, you

might go for something like a 65 Falcon or something, where you can get them

cheaper, they're simple cars, they're easier

to work on, you're not gonna have the expensive parts

and since it's a Ford, there's still tons of parts out there that you can get at a

reasonable price, that aren't gonna cost that much money and being simple you

could do that, go for that route, don't go for you

know the super expensive ones that are worth a lot of money, you want to go

a little bit lower and if you like it and you do a good job, then maybe you'll

go for a little higher end one the next time, that's the best way to go, the

dragon boy, says do you refuse customers from bringing their own parts realize

customers aren't that rich to pay a lot more to mechanics, okay here's the thing, you

have to buy good parts and I've been a mechanic for 50 years, sometimes even I

get the wrong parts, because I try to save my customers money but sometimes I

find you can't buy the cheapest parts, say you go online and buy a cheap

alternator, I had a customer do that six months ago, and I agreed well you don't

any money, you buy it I'll put it on, well he bought an alternator for his Honda

bought it online, I didn't buy it, I put it on and guess what it

didn't work, so then he had to take it back, his car is stuck here for days, if I

would have bought the right alternator it would have been out and you wouldn't have any

problems, so I warn people, I mean if they want to buy their own part I'll

warn them, if it doesn't work you still got to pay me to take it off put another

one on and your car's gonna be stuck there

you're better off having me buy the part from a quality part at a good price, now

yes a lot of mechanics are crooked, and they'll buy something for $100 sell it

for $300, well you know I'm not into that either, but the problem with having a

customer bringing the part is, a lot of times it's

not the right part or it's a cheap part that doesn't work, and then it becomes a

gigantic rollercoaster of who's to blame for somebody who wants their car fixed right,

that's why most mechanics will not take parts from other people, and I can't

really blame them because a lot of times you get the wrong part and then

everybody's stuck, Kevin Williams says, Scotty I got a Toyota

Camry 1996 whenever I turn on the AC the car backfires when it starts and the power

seems to be cut, okay the first thing you want to check is have both your battery

and your alternator load tested, places like Auto Zone do that free, and

realize that when you turn on the AC, that stresses the electrical system and

so you have a weak battery, weak alternator it might backfire, now if they

check out and alternator is good and the battery is good

it generally means the AC compressor is starting to wear out, and if it does, it

drags the engine too much and can make it run poorly, but generally backfiring, that

has to do with not enough electricity, so have your alternator and battery load

tested first on that one, so if you never want to miss another one of my new car

repair videos, remember to ring that Bell!

For more infomation >> Here's What I Think About Buying a Classic Car and More - Duration: 3:34.

-------------------------------------------

DIY Reverse Speech: Hillary Clinton on Trump-Putin Summit July 21/18 - Duration: 3:53.

For more infomation >> DIY Reverse Speech: Hillary Clinton on Trump-Putin Summit July 21/18 - Duration: 3:53.

-------------------------------------------

Make money every second you're at the casino. Here's how! - Duration: 7:42.

Hey there.

It's ya boy, Mikey Slice, and today I'm gonna show you hot to make money at any casino for

8 hours straight, and I'm starting right now!

(MikeySlice.com) If this is your first time here and you are interested in making more

money make sure you subscribe and hit the bell so you don't miss anything.

So you hear it all the time, people making money at the casino, and it's not you.

Every time you go there you lose, but the first time you went you won.

Why is that?

Believe it or not the best thing that can happen to you when you go to the casino for

the very first time is to lose.

Because, you won't go back ever again, because you lost.

And you know why you lost, and you know that you're never gonna win.

So that's pro tip #1.

But wait Mikey, if we never go back to the casino again to play then how are we supposed

to make money?

Well, I'm glad you asked.

If you're playing slot machines, you're at a huge disadvantage the house is going to

take 85-90% and give it back to it's players, but they're going to keep 10-15%.

So for every $100 you put in that machine you're going to get 85-$90 back.

Pro tip #1 you can hit that slot machine 500 times in one hour.

Do the math.

How many hundreds are you going to go through in an hour?

I'll wait.

So if you're betting $1 a spin and you spin it 100 times.

That's $100.

If you're doing that for a whole hour straight that's $500.

Don't play at the slots!

The best way to make money in the casino is the table games.

And for a really good reason.

Some table games the house has a little over a 1% edge over the player.

So that means for every $100 you play you're getting $99 back.

So your money lasts a lot longer as a player.

Some games it's a lot worse for the player.

Three card poker being the absolute worst.

Stay away from that game at all costs.

But when you get paid, you get paid a lot.

So I guess it's up to you.

If you're more of a I want to win big if I win kind of person.

Three Card Poker might be for you.

If you're someone who likes to grind it out and is okay with winning $50-$100 at the end

of the day then maybe Blackjack or Bacarrat is more of an option for you.But either way,

the house still has an edge.So how are you gonna be on the winning side of it?

It's coming right up I promise.

Make sure you watch this whole video.

Now we have Routlette.

Roulette is a one of a kind game, because it's almost 50/50 if you bet red or black,

or even or odd.

But there's 0 and double zero that can really screw you.

But if you play on a European wheel there's only one 0 so the edge actually goes down

a little bit for the house.

Which means you might be able to profit better than let's say Three Card.

Here's a fun fact, if you add up all the numbers on a Roulette wheel the total comes to 666.

Is that really a game you want to play?

But that's not including 0 and 00.

Another fun fact about Roulette.

The guy who invented it spent hours in his basement trying to find out how to beat it.

Didn't come up with an answer, drove himself crazy and actually killed himself.

I don't know about that game.The very best odds in the casino, if you're trying to leave

losing the least amount possible and playing for the longest time possible is Bacarrat.The

house only has a 1% edge on the banker bet, and almost 2% edge on the player bet, but

if you win on the Banker bet, you have to pay a 5% commission if you win the hand.

So even when you win you have to give the casino some money back.

So again up to you, but I have a really big secret on how to actually make money guaranteed

at the casino and I'm going to uncover it right now!

BeforeI uncover it I want you to take a second in the comments below and tell me what you

think the best way to make money is.

I'll wait.

There's a few requirements.

You need to be able to count to 21.

You need to have a high school diploma or GED, and be drug free.

This is important and you're gonna be blown away when I tell you why.

All right all right all right.

I'll stop prolonging it.

I know you're dying to know.

I'm dying to tell you, but I really want you to finish that comment below so I'll give

you a couple more seconds so you can hit that submit button and then compare your answer

at the end of the video.

But first, check out that video!

After countless hours of being in the casino and not winning anything, consistently, I

had an epiphany.

Can't beat em, join em.

All right, here it is.

If you want to make money for 8 hours straight at any casino you need to go on their website

and submit an application to be a table games dealer.

Or any other position that you'd like to fill at the casino.

Because the house always has an edge.

And don't you want to be on the winning side?

Yeah I know, it wasn't the answer you were looking for, but I'm living proof.

I've been working at the casino for a little over a year now, and I love it.

I make money in the casino for 8 hours straight, and I don't have to risk a penny.

It's super fun, super enjoyable, and you start out part time, so what are you waiting for!?

Now I'm full time so now I get to make money in the casino for 40 hours a WEEK.

Now that's something I never thought was possible until I started working there.

So if you want to join all you have to do is go to their website, fill out an application,

nail the interview, and it only takes about 5 weeks to become a table games dealer.

You'll be glad you did.

I really hope you enjoyed this video.

If you did, make sure to give it a big thumbs up and don't forget to subscribe and hit the

bell so you don't miss anything.

Thank you so much for watching I appreciate it.

Make sure you tune in next week on Thursday so you'll see another video.

I upload every week on Thursday's.

Can't wait to see you then.

Have a good one.

Thanks for watching!

For more infomation >> Make money every second you're at the casino. Here's how! - Duration: 7:42.

-------------------------------------------

蔣月惠腳纏繃帶到法院 聲援屏東公勇路反迫遷戶 - Duration: 6:44.

For more infomation >> 蔣月惠腳纏繃帶到法院 聲援屏東公勇路反迫遷戶 - Duration: 6:44.

-------------------------------------------

接受廣播專訪 蔣月惠談羅騰園合法性 - Duration: 4:11.

For more infomation >> 接受廣播專訪 蔣月惠談羅騰園合法性 - Duration: 4:11.

-------------------------------------------

worbital beta | IM A BETA TESTER WITH MY GIRLFRIEND ||||| also try not to laugh - Duration: 50:16.

For more infomation >> worbital beta | IM A BETA TESTER WITH MY GIRLFRIEND ||||| also try not to laugh - Duration: 50:16.

-------------------------------------------

同受溫暖幫助 自閉兒協會「孫爸」:盼蔣月惠有陳樹菊高度 - Duration: 4:44.

For more infomation >> 同受溫暖幫助 自閉兒協會「孫爸」:盼蔣月惠有陳樹菊高度 - Duration: 4:44.

-------------------------------------------

AVMA 2018: Utilizing Veterinarians During Any Disaster Response - Duration: 1:43.

A couple of really nice caveats came out of that panel discussion and I'm

thrilled that we did it and I feel like we really did it with a nice

One Health approach. We had a veterinarian, of course, a physician, an environmental

scientist, a social scientist, and an emergency manager. So, we had a really

nice panel, but there were some things that came up. One of them was

just that we really stressed the need of how important veterinarians are in any

kind of emergency or disaster preparedness and response. Certainly AVMA

has within their disaster management philosophy they have an

"all hazards all species" slogan, and that's so important to think about because there

are many hazards depending on where your location is, and we certainly are dealing

with multi species as veterinarians. But it really came out how important

veterinarians are. They should be part of every emergency or disaster planning and

response. So, we really encourage veterinarians to take part in that.

And that was something that was surprising because we did have some

people commenting that, I think veterinarians feel like sometimes they just do

their own thing on the periphery and help animals in some way, but they really

need to be integral to those responses. And certainly, hopefully, before the heat

of the moment, before a disaster happens; the best thing is to have them involved

in the planning of that, you know, planning for any kind of crisis situation.

Không có nhận xét nào:

Đăng nhận xét